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WagerLab / Predictions / College Football Picks, Predictions and Lines

NCAAF Picks, Predictions and Lines

Looking for this week’s college football betting lines, picks and predictions?  Get this week’s NCAAF point spreads, money lines and over/unders and enjoy predictions and picks for selected games.

We’ve got Championship Games galore in our Week 14 college football picks.

Some of the country’s best teams matchup for Conference glory in this week’s NCAAF tips, including Georgia vs Alabama and Baylor vs Oklahoma State.

Georgia vs Alabama

Meeting at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday afternoon, the Georgia Bulldogs will risk their unbeaten season record against the Crimson Tide. Georgia is naturally favored by almost a touchdown here, and with good reason given their dominant displays throughout the campaign.

This is a tantalizing matchup. Georgia is ranked number one in the nation, but Alabama is no pushover. The Tide are ranked third and boast a formidable 11-1 record on the year. Their only loss came to the Aggies back on October 10th.

Bryce Young has played his way to become the Heisman favorite. Coming from behind late on to win in overtime in the Iron Bowl in Week 13, the Tide are full of confidence and shouldn’t be written off here.

Still, the Bulldogs are the clear best team in college football this year. They are a good bet to win by more than a touchdown.

Pick: Georgia -6.5

Iowa vs Michigan

Despite only reaching the Big Ten Championship Game for the first time, Michigan is favored over Iowa for the matchup in Indianapolis. The Wolverines are coming off an historic victory over the Buckeyes to claim the Big Ten East crown, toppling their arch nemesis 47-42 in Week 13.

It was a win over Nebraska to seal the division for Iowa, who then benefited from a shock Wisconsin loss. The Hawkeyes missed a couple of key defensive players last weekend, and it’s unclear if they will be available for the Championship Game in Week 14.

Iowa has won five of the last seven games between these teams in a run going back over a decade.

It’s a brave call to bet against a healthy Michigan given how they have been playing, but that 10.5 spread is just too big. We’re fancying a close game.

Pick: Iowa +10.5

Baylor vs Oklahoma State

The Bears nor the Cowboys have won a Big 12 Championship Game before. It’s going to be a weekend of firsts across college football, and either Baylor or Oklahoma State will make history.

Oklahoma State is favored for this one. History is not on Baylor’s side either, with a putrid 5-11 against the spread record against the Cowboys over their last 16 matchups.

The Cowboys beat the Bears earlier this year by nine points. They are elite on both sides of the ball, but Baylor caused Oklahoma State quarterback Spencer Sanders some problems as he racked up interceptions.

Defense could be the story of the day. Sanders had a good performance in Week 13, but he doesn’t have happy memories against these Bears, and Baylor’s offense has shown weaknesses over the last few outings.

We’re going to take the under here. Defense could thrive under the pressure, while mistakes could creep into both offenses.

Pick: Under 46.5 total points

How to read college football odds

Those unfamiliar with college football betting might not know what they’re looking at when it comes to NCAA odds. That’s fine, because a lot of odds on a phone screen or laptop can be a bit of a maze.

First of all, you will likely be taken to the spread. This is a way of handicapping each team. In college football, this will be by a number of points, and there will often be large spreads when there are mismatches. For example, the underdog could be +10, while the favorite would be -10.

This means the favorite needs to win by more than 10 points for the bet to win. If the underdog can keep it within 10, they will win against the spread.
Beyond that, there will be a moneyline and the total points. The moneyline is simply betting on which team will win.

For instance, if Alabama is -500 on the moneyline, a bettor will win $10 from a $50 bet if they win the game. If they are ‘plus’ odds of +500, a $50 bet would return $300.
The total points is set by the bookie with an over and an under. The odds on either the over or under are usually close to evens, though bettors can search for value on alternate total points lines.

College football odds movement

With plenty of time between college football games, timing is important for bettors. The markets will usually open several days before kick-off. Odds movement is a factor to consider, with bettors often able to find improved value as the odds shift.

A surge of money on one of the teams can see their moneyline shift. The same goes for the spread. If Team A is -5 and bookies receive a wave of bets on them, they could become more heavily favored. As a result, should a team look like good value on the spread, it’s often worth backing them early before the spread moves.

College football odds movement is also sensitive to injuries and team news like in any sport. One key player missing out can see a drastic change to the betting markets.

College football playoffs betting

The college football playoffs provide some of the best atmospheres in sport. It’s also one of the best betting events of the year.
Whether looking for an unusual prop, building a parlay or making picks against the spread, the college football playoffs are as fun as it gets in sports betting. There are upsets to be found. There are big winners every week.

Futures betting is huge. It’s an area to find the longer odds, perhaps keeping you invested in a team you might not have usually followed.

College football betting strategy

Much of the basics to college football betting strategy are the same as the NFL. For many, though, more research will be required before placing a wager. Bettors should always take on as much information as possible, but that’s especially key in college football, where many of the names are less well-known and there’s less of a track record to base your betting decisions on.

With players departing or heading to the draft on a yearly basis, long-term head-to-head records don’t tend to be useful. There’s plenty of data to take in, however, and weighing up the talent and schemes of each team should be a staple of college football betting strategy.

Home advantage can be big. Some schools have remarkable records on their home field, and when the stands are full, it’s obviously going to make a difference.
There are various publications which will help to keep up to date with injury news. Make sure to find out about all the key players involved before placing a wager.

 

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