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WagerLab / Predictions / NFL Picks, Predictions and Lines

NFL Picks, Predictions and Lines

Looking for this week’s NFL betting lines, picks and predictions? Get this week’s NFL point spreads, money lines and over/unders and enjoy predictions and picks for selected games.

NFL Picks and Predictions

Teams have already overachieved and underwhelmed as we look ahead to Week 3. Read below for our Week 3 NFL picks, starting with the Colts and Titans.

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans

Losses to the Seahawks and Rams are hardly surprising for the Colts, but an 0-2 start puts massive pressure on their trip to Tennessee. Carson Wentz has a lot to prove after an underwhelming Week 2 performance.

On the other side of this matchup, the Titans fought back impressively against the Seahawks last time out. Trailing 24-9 at the half, Tennessee’s offense picked up the defense. Derrick Henry recorded three scores on over 180 yards on the ground and Ryan Tannehill put in another solid performance in an overtime W.

The Titans struggled against Arizona and were poor in the first half of Week 2. There are fair questions about this team, but they are an obvious pick at -5.

Pick: Titans -5

Washington Football Team @ Buffalo Bills

Beating the Giants in dramatic fashion after a loss to the Chargers, it’s been a mixed start to the year for Washington Football Team. They aren’t the first team to struggle against Justin Herbert, but giving up 29 points to the Giants is cause for concern on the defensive end.

Buffalo had their own questions to answer after a surprise loss to Pittsburgh. Was Josh Allen a one season wonder? Had they been overrated coming into this season? Well, they answered those emphatically with a 35-0 drubbing of the Dolphins in Week 2.

The Bills are unsurprisingly favored here, though some might be taken aback by the 9.5 line. It seems a lot, but Allen and co should have a field day against this WFT defense.

Pick: Bills -9.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams

Seven teams are 2-0 going into Week 3. Two of them are playing at SoFi Stadium as the reigning champions visit Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams, who have beaten the Bears and Colts in the first two weeks.

Tampa Bay has seen off the Cowboys and Falcons in two home games. Heading on the road for the first time isn’t going to scare this veteran roster, particularly with how spectacular Tom Brady has looked to start the year.

It’s not a shock that these teams cannot be split. The Rams are favored by just one point.

The value lies away from the spread with the points total set at 54. It could be an offense-heavy matchup given the talent on show, but in their combined four games, over 54 has hit just once. These are two of the league’s best defenses – it’s more likely to finish in the forties.

Pick: Under 54 total points

Read More: Super Bowl Betting Strategy

How to read NFL odds

NFL betting odds can be daunting. There are plusses and minuses all over the place, different numbers and jargon that doesn’t make immediate sense.

The first thing bettors are likely to see is the spread. This is effectively a way of levelling the betting market out between the two teams. For example, if there’s a point spread of five, the favorites will be listed as -5 and the underdogs will be +5.

It’s pretty straight forward from there. The favorites need to win by at least five points for the bet to cash in, while the dogs ‘win’ if they are within five points at the end of the game.

The other main markets – moneyline, total points – are more obvious. Betting the moneyline is a straight up bet on who wins the game, and the points market is a bet on the combined points of the two teams.

Moneyline NFL odds will vary depending on the teams involved. It’s not uncommon to see teams heavily favored on the moneyline. For example, a -200 moneyline price means a $10 bet would return a $5 profit.

NFL odds movement

NFL game odds usually open several days before kick-off. The odds will alter during that period as information about the two teams comes out and money is wagered.

If a team starts as five-point favorites, and they get a lot of money behind them at that price, the point spread can increase to -6 or -7. Team news can, of course, produce major swings in the odds.

Possible odds changes are something for bettors to be wary of. It’s rare that the opening price will stay the same throughout the build up to a game – bettors should keep an eye on odds movement to find the best value

Super Bowl betting

The NFL season is all about one thing: The Super Bowl. It’s one of the biggest events in the sporting calendar, a game watched around the world. Legends are made in the Super Bowl, and it naturally attracts a massive amount of betting attention.

NFL fans will place Super Bowl futures bets months before the big game. The majority of Super Bowl outright betting will be on the winner, but there are alternatives like backing a team to come out of their conference. As the game nears, many bettors will delve into the Super Bowl MVP market looking for betting value.

Super Bowl odds will move throughout the season. Finding the best Super Bowl betting value does not necessarily mean backing a team at the start of the year. If they’ve got a tough start, maybe wait for them to lose a couple and back them when their odds lengthen.

NFL betting strategy

The strategy of betting on the NFL is similar to many other sports. Before placing a wager, keeping an eye out for injury news is obviously a priority, particularly quarterbacks. If Patrick Mahomes is playing through pain, his availability is a factor to consider as you weigh up your bets for the following week’s game.

With the season taking place through the depths of winter, a glance at the weather forecast is useful, too. A high-scoring game is much less likely with rain pouring down or in freezing temperatures.

Previous matchups between two teams and specific stats are important. How teams defend the run and pass can show weaknesses that their opponent can exploit. Sometimes it will suggest they can nullify their opposition’s greatest threat.

Recent performances of each team should be considered, but a couple of losses to two of the best teams in the NFL is not necessarily an indicator of future performance. Bettors must look a wide range of information before placing their wagers.

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